Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.62
Pro Patria vs Crema preview and prediction
The match
Pro Patria host Crema in the Serie D Girone D on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Carlo Speroni. Pro Patria are 3rd with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Crema sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Pro Patria's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Pontedera 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Crema's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Pistoiese 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pro Patria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Pro Patria and 0.7 for Crema. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 45% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pro Patria 72%, draw 17%, Crema 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pro Patria to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pro Patria 2–0 Crema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pro Patria72%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @5.00
Crema11%fair 9.09 · @9.50
2.93Expected goals
2.22Pro Patria xG
0.71Crema xG
45%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pro Patria 2.2 – 0.7 Crema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Patria to win✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Double chance
Pro Patria or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Pro Patria ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Patria / FT Pro Patria✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
13%
7.62
–
Form
Pro Patria – last 6
WWWWLW
13 Sep
@ Pontedera
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs Oltrepò
2–1
W
12 Aug
vs Gozzano
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Imperia
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
2–3
L
13 Apr
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
4–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Crema – last 6
LDWLDL
13 Sep
vs Pistoiese
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Pavia
0–0
D
10 May
vs Coriano
2–0
W
3 May
@ Piacenza
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Correggese
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Pro Palazzolo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Patria and Crema.
Our pick is Pro Patria to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Crema?
On our numbers Pro Patria have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Crema 11%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Patria vs Crema?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Patria vs Crema?
Our predicted score is Pro Patria 2–0 Crema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pro Patria vs Crema?
Pro Patria vs Crema (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Carlo Speroni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
