Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese preview and prediction
The match
Città di Varese travel to face Cittadella Vis Modena in the Serie D Girone D on Wednesday 16 September (15:00 WAT). Cittadella Vis Modena are 7th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Città di Varese sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cittadella Vis Modena's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Coriano 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Città di Varese's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Pro Sesto 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Cittadella Vis Modena and 1.0 for Città di Varese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cittadella Vis Modena 49%, draw 22%, Città di Varese 29%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Cittadella Vis Modena 1–0 Città di Varese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cittadella Vis Modena49%fair 2.03 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Città di Varese29%fair 3.49 · @3.20
2.41Expected goals
1.42Cittadella Vis Modena xG
0.99Città di Varese xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Cittadella Vis Modena 1.4 – 1.0 Città di Varese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella Vis Modena to win✗
49%
2.03
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella Vis Modena / FT Cittadella Vis Modena✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.86
–
Form
Cittadella Vis Modena – last 6
WLLLWW
13 Sep
vs Coriano
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Varesina
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Livorno
1–2
L
3 May
@ Pistoiese
0–5
L
26 Apr
vs Pro Palazzolo
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Sangiuliano City
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Città di Varese – last 6
LDLWWL
13 Sep
vs Pro Sesto
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Coriano
1–1
D
17 May
@ Ligorna
3–5
L
3 May
@ Lavagnese
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Derthona
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Valenzana
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cittadella Vis Modena and Città di Varese.
What is the prediction for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese?
On our numbers Cittadella Vis Modena have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Città di Varese 29%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese?
Our predicted score is Cittadella Vis Modena 1–0 Città di Varese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese?
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
