Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.50
Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale preview and prediction
The match
Calvi Noale travel to face Virtus Bolzano in the Serie D Girone C on Sunday 4 October (14:30 WAT). Virtus Bolzano are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Calvi Noale sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Virtus Bolzano's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Altavilla 0–7 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Calvi Noale's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Brian Lignano 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Virtus Bolzano and 1.3 for Calvi Noale. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Virtus Bolzano 1–1 Calvi Noale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Virtus Bolzano36%fair 2.76 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Calvi Noale40%fair 2.51 · @2.40
2.51Expected goals
1.22Virtus Bolzano xG
1.29Calvi Noale xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Virtus Bolzano 1.2 – 1.3 Calvi Noale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Calvi Noale to win✓
40%
2.51
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Calvi Noale / FT Calvi Noale✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.50
–
Form
Virtus Bolzano – last 6
LWLWLL
27 Sep
@ Altavilla
0–7
L
20 Sep
vs Sandona
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Luparense
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Brian Lignano
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Clodiense
0–2
L
25 Jul
@ Modena
0–5
L
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Calvi Noale – last 6
LWDDLW
27 Sep
vs Brian Lignano
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Legnago Salus
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Schio
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Triestina
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Mestre
0–2
L
3 May
@ Bassano Virtus
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Bolzano and Calvi Noale.
What is the prediction for Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?
On our numbers Virtus Bolzano have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Calvi Noale 40%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?
Our predicted score is Virtus Bolzano 1–1 Calvi Noale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?
Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
