Value bet: Mestre to win @ 1.71 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMestre to win ✗63% · @1.71
Double chanceMestre or draw ✓82% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Mestre vs Campodarsego preview and prediction
The match
Mestre host Campodarsego in the Serie D Girone C on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Mestre are 6th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Campodarsego sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mestre's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with FC Obermais 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Campodarsego's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Legnago Salus 0–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Mestre 0–1 Campodarsego.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Mestre and 0.9 for Campodarsego. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Mestre to win at 1.71 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Mestre 2–0 Campodarsego. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mestre63%fair 1.58 · @1.71
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.94
Campodarsego18%fair 5.69 · @4.72
2.75Expected goals
1.90Mestre xG
0.85Campodarsego xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Mestre 1.9 – 0.9 Campodarsego expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mestre vs Campodarsego?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Mestre vs Campodarsego?
On our numbers Mestre have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Campodarsego 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mestre vs Campodarsego?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mestre vs Campodarsego?
Our predicted score is Mestre 2–0 Campodarsego, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mestre vs Campodarsego?
Mestre vs Campodarsego (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
