Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTriestina to win ✓58% · @1.67
Double chanceTriestina or draw ✓79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.88
Triestina vs FC Obermais preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone C sees Triestina take on FC Obermais on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Stadio Nereo Rocco. Triestina are 12th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while FC Obermais sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Triestina's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Cjarlins Muzane 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
FC Obermais's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Mestre 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FC Obermais arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Triestina and 1.0 for FC Obermais. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Triestina 58%, draw 21%, FC Obermais 21%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Triestina to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Triestina 1–0 FC Obermais. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Triestina58%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.70
FC Obermais21%fair 4.86 · @4.20
2.78Expected goals
1.82Triestina xG
0.96FC Obermais xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Triestina 1.8 – 1.0 FC Obermais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triestina to win✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
Triestina or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Triestina ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triestina / FT Triestina✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.88
–
Form
Triestina – last 6
LDLDLL
27 Sep
@ Cjarlins Muzane
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Bassano Virtus
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Campodarsego
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Calvi Noale
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Altavilla
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Albinoleffe
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Obermais – last 6
DLDWLD
27 Sep
vs Mestre
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Conegliano
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs LME
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Este
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Cjarlins Muzane
2–5
L
17 May
@ Vigasio
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Triestina and FC Obermais.
What is the prediction for Triestina vs FC Obermais?
Our pick is Triestina to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Triestina vs FC Obermais?
On our numbers Triestina have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Obermais 21%.
How many goals will there be in Triestina vs FC Obermais?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triestina vs FC Obermais?
Our predicted score is Triestina 1–0 FC Obermais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Triestina vs FC Obermais?
Triestina vs FC Obermais (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nereo Rocco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
