Serie D Girone C · Italy · Mario SandriniLegnago Salus vs Bassano Virtus prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Value bet: Bassano Virtus to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Legnago Salus 1.2 – 1.0 Bassano Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Legnago Salus hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 35% for Bassano Virtus.
Legnago Salus have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Bassano Virtus have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Legnago Salus, 1.0 for Bassano Virtus). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.67. For a bigger price, Bassano Virtus to win at 3.30 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Legnago Salus to win ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Legnago Salus / FT Legnago Salus ✗ | 23% | 4.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.59 | – |
Form
Legnago Salus – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Campodarsego | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Calvi Noale | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Altavilla | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Sandona | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Luparense | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Aug | vs Mantova | 1–3 | L |
Bassano Virtus – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Schio | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Triestina | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Mestre | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Conegliano | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs LME | 1–2 | L |
| 3 May | vs Calvi Noale | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legnago Salus and Bassano Virtus.
Serie D Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cjarlins Muzane | 11 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Luparense | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Sandona | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Clodiense | 11 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Campodarsego | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Mestre | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Legnago Salus | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Este | 11 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Conegliano | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Bassano Virtus | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  FC Obermais | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Triestina | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 |  LME | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Altavilla | 11 | +5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Virtus Bolzano | 11 | -16 | 11 |
| 16 |  Calvi Noale | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 |  Schio | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Brian Lignano | 11 | -11 | 5 |
More Serie D Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Legnago Salus vs Bassano Virtus?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Legnago Salus vs Bassano Virtus?
On our numbers Legnago Salus have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bassano Virtus 35%.
How many goals will there be in Legnago Salus vs Bassano Virtus?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Legnago Salus vs Bassano Virtus?
Legnago Salus vs Bassano Virtus (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mario Sandrini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.