Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLuparense to win ✓47% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Brian Lignano vs Luparense preview and prediction
The match
Luparense travel to face Brian Lignano in the Serie D Girone C on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). Brian Lignano are 18th with 5 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Luparense sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Brian Lignano's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Calvi Noale 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Luparense's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Clodiense 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Luparense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Luparense 1–1 Brian Lignano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Brian Lignano and 1.6 for Luparense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brian Lignano 33%, draw 20%, Luparense 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Brian Lignano 1–1 Luparense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brian Lignano33%fair 3.05 · @2.94
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.72
Luparense47%fair 2.13 · @2.28
2.85Expected goals
1.27Brian Lignano xG
1.58Luparense xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Brian Lignano 1.3 – 1.6 Luparense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
On our numbers Brian Lignano have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Luparense 47%.
How many goals will there be in Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
Our predicted score is Brian Lignano 1–1 Luparense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
Brian Lignano vs Luparense (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
