Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.96
Chisola vs Derthona preview and prediction
The match
Derthona travel to face Chisola in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT). Chisola are 2nd with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Derthona sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chisola's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Celle Varazze 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Derthona's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Alessandria 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Derthona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Derthona 0–1 Chisola.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Chisola and 1.1 for Derthona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chisola 44%, draw 22%, Derthona 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Chisola 1–1 Derthona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chisola44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Derthona34%fair 2.93 · @2.90
2.49Expected goals
1.35Chisola xG
1.14Derthona xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Chisola 1.4 – 1.1 Derthona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Chisola vs Derthona?
On our numbers Chisola have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derthona 34%.
How many goals will there be in Chisola vs Derthona?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chisola vs Derthona?
Our predicted score is Chisola 1–1 Derthona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chisola vs Derthona?
Chisola vs Derthona (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
