Serie D Girone A · Italy · Stadio Giuseppe MoccagattaAlessandria vs Fezzanese prediction & analysis
Alessandria to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alessandria 2.1 – 0.7 Fezzanese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alessandria are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Fezzanese.
Alessandria have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Fezzanese have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Alessandria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.1 for Alessandria, 0.7 for Fezzanese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 44%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Alessandria to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.46.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alessandria to win ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | Alessandria or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Half-time result | Alessandria ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✓ | 13% | 7.48 | – |
Form
Alessandria – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ Biellese | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Derthona | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | vs Imperia | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Asti | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Millesimo | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Sestri Levante | 2–1 | W |
Fezzanese – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Valenzana | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Imperia | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Gozzano | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Sestri Levante | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Chisola | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Bra | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Fezzanese.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
Our pick is Alessandria to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
On our numbers Alessandria have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fezzanese 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
Alessandria vs Fezzanese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.