Serie D Girone A · ItalyMillesimo vs Borgosesia prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Millesimo 1.3 – 1.0 Borgosesia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Millesimo hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 31% for Borgosesia.
Millesimo have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Borgosesia have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.3 for Millesimo, 1.0 for Borgosesia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Millesimo to win ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.31 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Millesimo / FT Millesimo ✓ | 25% | 3.96 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.57 | – |
Form
Millesimo – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ Sanremese | 2–5 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Asti | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Lascaris | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Derthona | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Alessandria | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Valenzana | 2–1 | W |
Borgosesia – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Sestri Levante | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Sep | @ Chisola | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Valenzana | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Bra | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Gozzano | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Saluzzo | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millesimo and Borgosesia.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Millesimo vs Borgosesia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Millesimo vs Borgosesia?
On our numbers Millesimo have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Borgosesia 31%.
How many goals will there be in Millesimo vs Borgosesia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Millesimo vs Borgosesia?
Millesimo vs Borgosesia (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.