Serie D Girone A · Italy · Giuseppe SivoriSestri Levante vs Celle Varazze prediction & analysis
Sestri Levante to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sestri Levante 1.8 – 0.6 Celle Varazze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sestri Levante are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 12% for Celle Varazze.
Sestri Levante have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Celle Varazze have 0 points from their last 6 (0W 0D 6L), averaging 0.2 scored and 2.2 conceded. Sestri Levante come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Sestri Levante, 0.6 for Celle Varazze). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 43%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Sestri Levante have won 0, Celle Varazze have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Sestri Levante to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sestri Levante to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | Sestri Levante or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Half-time result | Sestri Levante ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sestri Levante / FT Sestri Levante ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.32 | – |
Form
Sestri Levante – last 6
| 7 Oct | vs Pistoiese | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Borgosesia | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Biellese | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Lascaris | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Fezzanese | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Alessandria | 1–2 | L |
Celle Varazze – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ Bra | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Chisola | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Ligorna | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Saluzzo | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Sanremese | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Derthona | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 26 Apr 2026 | Celle Varazze v Sestri Levante | 1–0 |
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?
Our pick is Sestri Levante to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?
On our numbers Sestri Levante have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celle Varazze 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?
Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Sivori.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.