Value bet: Biellese to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBiellese to win ✓46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.10
Sestri Levante vs Biellese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone A sees Sestri Levante take on Biellese on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Giuseppe Sivori. Sestri Levante are 12th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Biellese sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sestri Levante's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Lascaris 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Biellese's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Chisola 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Biellese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Sestri Levante and 1.3 for Biellese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: Biellese to win at 2.45 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Sestri Levante 1–1 Biellese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sestri Levante32%fair 3.16 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Biellese46%fair 2.17 · @2.45
2.39Expected goals
1.04Sestri Levante xG
1.34Biellese xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Sestri Levante 1.0 – 1.3 Biellese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Biellese to win✓
46%
2.17
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Biellese / FT Biellese✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.10
–
Form
Sestri Levante – last 6
DLLWWL
20 Sep
@ Lascaris
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Fezzanese
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Alessandria
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Asti
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Sampdoria U20
4–1
W
3 May
vs Sanremese
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Biellese – last 6
DWWDLW
20 Sep
vs Chisola
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Bra
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Ligorna
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Saluzzo
1–1
D
3 May
@ Vado
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Gozzano
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestri Levante and Biellese.
What is the prediction for Sestri Levante vs Biellese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Sestri Levante vs Biellese?
On our numbers Sestri Levante have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Biellese 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sestri Levante vs Biellese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestri Levante vs Biellese?
Our predicted score is Sestri Levante 1–1 Biellese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sestri Levante vs Biellese?
Sestri Levante vs Biellese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Sivori.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
