Serie D Girone A · ItalyImperia vs Fezzanese prediction & analysis
Imperia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Imperia 1.6 – 0.7 Fezzanese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Imperia are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 16% for Fezzanese.
Imperia have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Fezzanese have 7 points from their last 4 (2W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Fezzanese come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 for Imperia, 0.7 for Fezzanese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Imperia to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Imperia to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Imperia or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Imperia / FT Imperia ✓ | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.07 | – |
Form
Imperia – last 6
| 16 Sep | vs Asti | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Derthona | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Millesimo | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Pro Patria | 1–2 | L |
| 3 May | vs Celle Varazze | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | @ Derthona | 0–0 | D |
Fezzanese – last 4
| 21 Sep | vs Gozzano | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Sestri Levante | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Chisola | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Bra | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Imperia and Fezzanese.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Imperia vs Fezzanese?
Our pick is Imperia to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Imperia vs Fezzanese?
On our numbers Imperia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fezzanese 16%.
How many goals will there be in Imperia vs Fezzanese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Imperia vs Fezzanese?
Imperia vs Fezzanese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.