Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultImperia to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceImperia or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.07
Imperia vs Fezzanese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone A sees Imperia take on Fezzanese on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Imperia are 9th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Fezzanese sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Imperia's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Asti 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Fezzanese's last 4: LWWD Most recently they lost to Gozzano 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fezzanese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Imperia and 0.7 for Fezzanese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Imperia to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Imperia 1–0 Fezzanese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Imperia61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Fezzanese16%fair 6.15 · @3.90
2.28Expected goals
1.61Imperia xG
0.67Fezzanese xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Imperia 1.6 – 0.7 Fezzanese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Imperia to win✓
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Imperia or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Imperia / FT Imperia✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.07
–
Form
Imperia – last 6
LDWLLD
16 Sep
vs Asti
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Derthona
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Millesimo
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Pro Patria
1–2
L
3 May
vs Celle Varazze
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Derthona
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fezzanese – last 4
LWWD
21 Sep
vs Gozzano
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Sestri Levante
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Chisola
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bra
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Imperia and Fezzanese.
Our pick is Imperia to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Imperia vs Fezzanese?
On our numbers Imperia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fezzanese 16%.
How many goals will there be in Imperia vs Fezzanese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imperia vs Fezzanese?
Our predicted score is Imperia 1–0 Fezzanese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Imperia vs Fezzanese?
Imperia vs Fezzanese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
