Serie D Girone A · ItalyValenzana vs Borgosesia prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Valenzana 1.2 – 1.1 Borgosesia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Valenzana and Borgosesia on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Valenzana have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Borgosesia have 2 points from their last 3 (0W 2D 1L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Valenzana, 1.1 for Borgosesia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is close to our fair price of 1.81.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Valenzana to win ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Valenzana / FT Valenzana ✗ | 22% | 4.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.63 | – |
Form
Valenzana – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Asti | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Lascaris | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Millesimo | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Alessandria | 1–2 | L |
| 3 May | vs Chisola | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Apr | @ Cairese | 0–4 | L |
Borgosesia – last 3
| 20 Sep | vs Bra | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Gozzano | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Saluzzo | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenzana and Borgosesia.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Valenzana vs Borgosesia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Valenzana vs Borgosesia?
On our numbers Valenzana have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Borgosesia 36%.
How many goals will there be in Valenzana vs Borgosesia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Valenzana vs Borgosesia?
Valenzana vs Borgosesia (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.