Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Gozzano to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanremese to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Gozzano vs Sanremese preview and prediction
The match
Gozzano host Sanremese in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Gozzano are 11th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Sanremese sit 7th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gozzano's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Fezzanese 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanremese's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Saluzzo 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sanremese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Gozzano and 1.1 for Sanremese. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Gozzano to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Gozzano 0–1 Sanremese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gozzano34%fair 2.95 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.20
Sanremese44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
2.05Expected goals
0.93Gozzano xG
1.13Sanremese xG
41%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gozzano 0.9 – 1.1 Sanremese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanremese to win✗
44%
2.26
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanremese / FT Sanremese✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
Gozzano – last 6
WDLDLD
21 Sep
@ Fezzanese
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Borgosesia
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Asti
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Lascaris
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Pro Patria
1–3
L
10 May
@ Derthona
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sanremese – last 6
DLWDWD
20 Sep
vs Saluzzo
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Chisola
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Celle Varazze
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Ligorna
2–2
D
3 May
@ Sestri Levante
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Imperia
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gozzano and Sanremese.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Gozzano vs Sanremese?
On our numbers Gozzano have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanremese 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gozzano vs Sanremese?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gozzano vs Sanremese?
Our predicted score is Gozzano 0–1 Sanremese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gozzano vs Sanremese?
Gozzano vs Sanremese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
