Serie D Girone A · ItalySaluzzo vs Derthona prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Saluzzo 1.3 – 1.2 Derthona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Saluzzo and Derthona on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Saluzzo have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Derthona have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Saluzzo, 1.2 for Derthona). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Saluzzo have won 0, Derthona have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.34.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Saluzzo to win ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | 2.60 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.32 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.87 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Saluzzo / FT Saluzzo ✗ | 22% | 4.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.72 | – |
Form
Saluzzo – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Sanremese | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Celle Varazze | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Borgosesia | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Biellese | 1–1 | D |
| 3 May | vs Derthona | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Apr | vs Sanremese | 0–1 | L |
Derthona – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Millesimo | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Ligorna | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Imperia | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Celle Varazze | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | vs Gozzano | 1–1 | D |
| 3 May | @ Saluzzo | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 3 May 2026 | Saluzzo v Derthona | 1–1 |
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Saluzzo vs Derthona?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Saluzzo vs Derthona?
On our numbers Saluzzo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Derthona 37%.
How many goals will there be in Saluzzo vs Derthona?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Saluzzo vs Derthona?
Saluzzo vs Derthona (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.