Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 54% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +90%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓54% · @3.50
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✓84% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓12% · fair 8.16
Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Shamrock Rovers take on KuPS on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Tallaght Stadium.
Form guide
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with St Patrick's Athl. 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
KuPS's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Lahti 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Shamrock Rovers and 1.2 for KuPS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Shamrock Rovers or draw (84%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Draw at 3.50 – 54% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shamrock Rovers or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shamrock Rovers 1–1 KuPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shamrock Rovers30%fair 3.36 · @1.97
Draw54%fair 1.85 · @3.50
KuPS16%fair 6.23 · @3.60
2.65Expected goals
1.47Shamrock Rovers xG
1.18KuPS xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 1.5 – 1.2 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
54%
1.85
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Shamrock Rovers or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
12%
8.16
–
Form
Shamrock Rovers – last 6
DLWWDW
16 Aug
@ St Patrick's Athl.
2–2
D
13 Aug
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–5
L
7 Aug
vs Dundalk
3–2
W
4 Aug
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3–1
W
31 Jul
@ Drogheda United
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Ararat-Armenia
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
KuPS – last 6
WLDDWL
16 Aug
@ Lahti
2–1
W
13 Aug
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Turku PS
1–1
D
6 Aug
vs Universitatea Craiova
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Gnistan
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Sabah FA
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shamrock Rovers and KuPS.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?
Our pick is Shamrock Rovers or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 54% and KuPS 16%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–1 KuPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?
Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.