SC Freiburg travel to Fir Park in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 20 August (19:30 WAT) to face Motherwell.
Form guide
Motherwell's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Stenhousemuir 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SC Freiburg's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Crystal Palace 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Motherwell and 2.0 for SC Freiburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was SC Freiburg to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Motherwell 0–2 SC Freiburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motherwell12%fair 8.45 · @7.10
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.60
SC Freiburg70%fair 1.43 · @1.41
2.68Expected goals
0.66Motherwell xG
2.02SC Freiburg xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–114%
0–39%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Motherwell 0.7 – 2.0 SC Freiburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win✓
70%
1.43
1.41
Double chance
SC Freiburg or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.55
Half-time result
SC Freiburg ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
14%
7.16
–
Form
Motherwell – last 6
DWDDWW
16 Aug
@ Stenhousemuir
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs HJK Helsinki
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Falkirk
0–0
D
6 Aug
@ HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Hibernian
2–1
W
30 Jul
@ HB Torshavn
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SC Freiburg – last 6
WWWLLW
15 Aug
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Strasbourg
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Derby
3–1
W
20 May
vs Aston Villa
0–3
L
10 May
@ Hamburger SV
2–3
L
7 May
vs SC Braga
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motherwell and SC Freiburg.
What is the prediction for Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
Our pick is SC Freiburg to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and SC Freiburg 70%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 0–2 SC Freiburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
Motherwell vs SC Freiburg (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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