FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 20 Aug 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultDraw ✗54% · @3.45

Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓84% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 8.88

FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv preview and prediction

The match

The UEFA Europa Conference League sees FC Lugano take on Maccabi Tel Aviv on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at AIL Arena.

Form guide

FC Lugano's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Vedeggio 10–1 away. They are scoring freely – 4.7 goals a game.

Maccabi Tel Aviv's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Maccabi Netanya 1–0 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for FC Lugano and 1.3 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: FC Lugano 30%, draw 54%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 16%.
Safer route: FC Lugano or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Draw at 3.45 – 54% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was FC Lugano or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Lugano 1–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Lugano30%fair 3.36 · @1.97

Draw54%fair 1.84 · @3.45

Maccabi Tel Aviv16%fair 6.28 · @3.65

2.95Expected goals

1.63FC Lugano xG

1.32Maccabi Tel Aviv xG

62%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%

2–19%

1–09%

1–27%

2–07%

0–17%

From our goals model: FC Lugano 1.6 – 1.3 Maccabi Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Draw ✗	54%	1.84	3.45 ▲
Double chance	FC Lugano or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.25 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.60	1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.89	1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.46	1.33
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.50	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano ✓	27%	3.72	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–1 ✗	11%	8.88	–

Form

FC Lugano – last 6

WDWWWW

16 Aug	@ Vedeggio	10–1	W
13 Aug	@ NSI Runavik	2–2	D
9 Aug	vs FC Zurich	5–0	W
6 Aug	vs NSI Runavik	2–0	W
2 Aug	@ Grasshoppers	4–1	W
29 Jul	@ Dukagjini	5–1	W

4.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Maccabi Tel Aviv – last 6

WWLWWW

16 Aug	@ Maccabi Netanya	1–0	W
13 Aug	@ CSKA Sofia	3–1	W
6 Aug	vs CSKA Sofia	0–3	L
30 Jul	vs Sheriff Tiraspol	1–0	W
23 Jul	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	5–0	W
16 Jul	@ Hapoel Beer Sheva	3–1	W

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Our pick is FC Lugano or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

On our numbers FC Lugano have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 54% and Maccabi Tel Aviv 16%.

How many goals will there be in FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Our predicted score is FC Lugano 1–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at AIL Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes