Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Heart Of Midlothian or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.38Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.55 – our chance 56% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +99%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓56% · @3.55
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓81% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✓7% · fair 13.77
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna preview and prediction
The match
Heart Of Midlothian host Rapid Vienna in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 20 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Tynecastle Park.
Form guide
Heart Of Midlothian's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Inverness CT 6–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Rapid Vienna's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Grazer AK 8–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rapid Vienna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.0 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.8 for Rapid Vienna. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (81%) at 1.38.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Draw at 3.55 – 56% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Heart Of Midlothian or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.38, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Rapid Vienna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heart Of Midlothian25%fair 3.95 · @2.25
Draw56%fair 1.79 · @3.55
Rapid Vienna19%fair 5.35 · @2.90
3.81Expected goals
1.99Heart Of Midlothian xG
1.82Rapid Vienna xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 2.0 – 1.8 Rapid Vienna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
56%
1.79
3.55 ▲
Double chance
Heart Of Midlothian or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.38 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.42
Half-time result
Heart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✓
7%
13.77
–
Form
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
WDWLLL
16 Aug
vs Inverness CT
6–2
W
13 Aug
vs Benfica
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Dundee Utd
4–0
W
6 Aug
@ Benfica
1–6
L
1 Aug
@ Aberdeen
1–2
L
28 Jul
vs Sturm Graz
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rapid Vienna – last 6
WWWWWW
16 Aug
vs Grazer AK
8–0
W
12 Aug
vs Paide
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Ried
2–1
W
6 Aug
@ Paide
4–1
W
2 Aug
vs SCR Altach
1–0
W
29 Jul
vs FC Santa Coloma
6–2
W
3.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heart Of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna.
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Rapid Vienna 19%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?
Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Rapid Vienna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.