Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtalanta to win ✓70% · @1.53
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓17% · fair 5.76
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Hapoel Tel Aviv take on Atalanta on Thursday 27 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at DVTK Stadion.
Form guide
Hapoel Tel Aviv's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Atalanta 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atalanta's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Sassuolo 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished Atalanta 0–0 Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.5 for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.8 for Atalanta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hapoel Tel Aviv 10%, draw 20%, Atalanta 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.38, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1 Atalanta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Tel Aviv10%fair 10.16 · @5.80
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.10
Atalanta70%fair 1.43 · @1.53
2.36Expected goals
0.52Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
1.84Atalanta xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–216%
0–310%
0–09%
1–19%
1–28%
From our goals model: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.5 – 1.8 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Hapoel Tel Aviv have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atalanta 70%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at DVTK Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.