Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 27 Aug 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMonaco to win ✓65% · @1.35

Double chanceMonaco or draw ✓87% · @1.07

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.75

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.55

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74

Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze preview and prediction

The match

Gornik Zabrze travel to Stade Louis II in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 27 August (17:45 WAT) to face Monaco.

Form guide

Monaco's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Le Havre 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Gornik Zabrze's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Monaco 2–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Monaco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished Gornik Zabrze 2–3 Monaco.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.8 for Monaco and 1.3 for Gornik Zabrze. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 63%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Monaco 65%, draw 22%, Gornik Zabrze 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Monaco 2–1 Gornik Zabrze. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Monaco65%fair 1.54 · @1.35

Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.85

Gornik Zabrze13%fair 7.68 · @8.20

4.07Expected goals

2.76Monaco xG

1.31Gornik Zabrze xG

63%Both score

69%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%

3–18%

2–06%

1–16%

3–06%

2–26%

From our goals model: Monaco 2.8 – 1.3 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Monaco to win ✓	65%	1.54	1.35
Double chance	Monaco or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.07
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.55 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.96	1.57
Half-time result	Monaco ahead at half-time ✓	52%	1.94	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Monaco / FT Monaco ✓	46%	2.18	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.74	–

Form

Monaco – last 6

WWLWWD

23 Aug	@ Le Havre	1–0	W
20 Aug	@ Gornik Zabrze	3–2	W
14 Aug	@ Coventry	0–2	L
9 Aug	@ Liverpool	3–2	W
6 Aug	vs Getafe	1–0	W
31 Jul	vs Cercle Brugge	2–2	D

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Gornik Zabrze – last 6

LWDWLD

20 Aug	vs Monaco	2–3	L
16 Aug	vs Wisla Krakow	2–1	W
13 Aug	vs Ferencvarosi TC	1–1	D
8 Aug	@ Radomiak Radom	3–1	W
5 Aug	@ Ferencvarosi TC	0–1	L
29 Jul	vs Fenerbahçe	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

On our numbers Monaco have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gornik Zabrze 13%.

How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

Our predicted score is Monaco 2–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Monaco

Gornik Zabrze

Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze prediction & analysis

Over 2.5 goals

Quick tips for this match

Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze preview and prediction

The match

Form guide

Head to head

Goals outlook

Betting angles

Our prediction

Win chances

Most likely scores

Every market, with fair odds

Form

Monaco – last 6

Gornik Zabrze – last 6

Head to head

UEFA Europa Conference League table

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions