Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 3.90 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKuPS to win ✓47% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.98
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers preview and prediction
The match
KuPS host Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 27 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Savon Sanomat Areena.
Form guide
KuPS's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Mariehamn 2–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with KuPS 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished Shamrock Rovers 1–1 KuPS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for KuPS and 0.9 for Shamrock Rovers. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Value angle: Shamrock Rovers to win at 3.90 – 31% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KuPS47%fair 2.14 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Shamrock Rovers31%fair 3.18 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.22KuPS xG
0.92Shamrock Rovers xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.2 – 0.9 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers KuPS have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shamrock Rovers 31%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Savon Sanomat Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.