Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 2.85 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Lugano to win ✗41% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano preview and prediction
The match
FC Lugano travel to Batumi Arena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 27 August (17:00 WAT) to face Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Form guide
Maccabi Tel Aviv's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Hapoel Katamon 5–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC Lugano's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 4.2 per game.
FC Lugano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished FC Lugano 2–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.5 for FC Lugano. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maccabi Tel Aviv 37%, draw 23%, FC Lugano 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: FC Lugano to win at 2.85 – 41% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 FC Lugano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maccabi Tel Aviv37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
FC Lugano41%fair 2.46 · @2.85
2.95Expected goals
1.43Maccabi Tel Aviv xG
1.52FC Lugano xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.4 – 1.5 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?
On our numbers Maccabi Tel Aviv have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Lugano 41%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Batumi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.