Thursday, 12 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Batumi Arena
1–1
FT

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 2.85 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Lugano to win ✗41% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano preview and prediction

The match

FC Lugano travel to Batumi Arena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 27 August (17:00 WAT) to face Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Form guide

Maccabi Tel Aviv's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Hapoel Katamon 5–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.

FC Lugano's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 4.2 per game.

FC Lugano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished FC Lugano 2–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.5 for FC Lugano. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 FC Lugano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Maccabi Tel Aviv37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
FC Lugano41%fair 2.46 · @2.85
2.95Expected goals
1.43Maccabi Tel Aviv xG
1.52FC Lugano xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.4 – 1.5 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Lugano to win ✗41%2.462.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.35
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.58–

Form

Maccabi Tel Aviv – last 6

WLWWLW
23 Aug@ Hapoel Katamon5–2W
20 Aug@ FC Lugano1–2L
16 Aug@ Maccabi Netanya1–0W
13 Aug@ CSKA Sofia3–1W
6 Augvs CSKA Sofia0–3L
30 Julvs Sheriff Tiraspol1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Lugano – last 6

WWDWWW
20 Augvs Maccabi Tel Aviv2–1W
16 Aug@ Vedeggio10–1W
13 Aug@ NSI Runavik2–2D
9 Augvs FC Zurich5–0W
6 Augvs NSI Runavik2–0W
2 Aug@ Grasshoppers4–1W
4.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Aug 2026FC Lugano v Maccabi Tel Aviv2–1
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

On our numbers Maccabi Tel Aviv have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Lugano 41%.

How many goals will there be in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

Our predicted score is Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Batumi Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.