Qarabag vs Twente Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 27 Aug 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultTwente to win ✓39% · @2.18

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Qarabag vs Twente preview and prediction

The match

Twente travel to Tofiq Bəhramov in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 27 August (17:00 WAT) to face Qarabag.

Form guide

Qarabag's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Twente 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Twente's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Qarabag 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.

Qarabag arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished Twente 0–1 Qarabag.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Qarabag and 1.4 for Twente. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Qarabag 38%, draw 23%, Twente 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Qarabag to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Qarabag 1–1 Twente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Qarabag38%fair 2.60 · @3.10

Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50

Twente39%fair 2.57 · @2.18

2.78Expected goals

1.39Qarabag xG

1.40Twente xG

59%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

0–19%

1–09%

1–28%

2–18%

0–06%

From our goals model: Qarabag 1.4 – 1.4 Twente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Twente to win ✓	39%	2.57	2.18
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.92	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.44	1.36
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Twente / FT Twente ✗	22%	4.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	9%	11.58	–

Form

Qarabag – last 6

WWWLDD

20 Aug	@ Twente	1–0	W
17 Aug	vs Şamaxı FK	3–1	W
13 Aug	vs Dynamo Kyiv	2–0	W
6 Aug	@ Dynamo Kyiv	0–1	L
30 Jul	@ CSKA Sofia	0–0	D
23 Jul	vs CSKA Sofia	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Twente – last 6

LWDLWL

20 Aug	vs Qarabag	0–1	L
16 Aug	vs PEC Zwolle	3–1	W
13 Aug	@ Dunajska Streda	3–3	D
9 Aug	@ Heerenveen	0–1	L
6 Aug	vs Dunajska Streda	6–0	W
2 Aug	@ Genk	1–2	L

2.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qarabag vs Twente?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Qarabag vs Twente?

On our numbers Qarabag have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Twente 39%.

How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Twente?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Twente?

Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–1 Twente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Qarabag vs Twente?

Qarabag vs Twente (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bəhramov.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Qarabag

Twente

Qarabag vs Twente prediction & analysis

Over 1.5 goals

Quick tips for this match

Qarabag vs Twente preview and prediction

The match

Form guide

Head to head

Goals outlook

Betting angles

Our prediction

Win chances

Most likely scores

Every market, with fair odds

Form

Qarabag – last 6

Twente – last 6

Head to head

UEFA Europa Conference League table

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions