Wednesday, 11 November 2026 15 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Europa-Park-Stadion
4–1
FT

SC Freiburg vs Motherwell prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

SC Freiburg to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSC Freiburg to win ✓74% · @1.22
Double chanceSC Freiburg or draw ✓94% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.52

SC Freiburg vs Motherwell preview and prediction

The match

SC Freiburg host Motherwell in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 27 August, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Europa-Park-Stadion.

Form guide

SC Freiburg's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Fortuna Düsseldorf 5–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.

Motherwell's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

SC Freiburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished Motherwell 1–3 SC Freiburg.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.4 for SC Freiburg and 0.7 for Motherwell. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was SC Freiburg to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: SC Freiburg 2–0 Motherwell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

SC Freiburg74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @6.20
Motherwell6%fair 16.14 · @11.50
3.09Expected goals
2.42SC Freiburg xG
0.67Motherwell xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–011%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%

From our goals model: SC Freiburg 2.4 – 0.7 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSC Freiburg to win ✓74%1.351.22
Double chanceSC Freiburg or draw ✓94%1.071.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.91
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.601.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.681.67
Half-time resultSC Freiburg ahead at half-time ✗55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg ✗52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13%7.52–

Form

SC Freiburg – last 6

WWWWWL
23 Aug@ Fortuna Düsseldorf5–1W
20 Aug@ Motherwell3–1W
15 Augvs Crystal Palace3–0W
8 Augvs Strasbourg2–0W
24 Julvs Derby3–1W
20 Mayvs Aston Villa0–3L
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Motherwell – last 6

LDWDDW
20 Augvs SC Freiburg1–3L
16 Aug@ Stenhousemuir0–0D
13 Augvs HJK Helsinki2–0W
9 Augvs Falkirk0–0D
6 Aug@ HJK Helsinki1–1D
2 Aug@ Hibernian2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Aug 2026Motherwell v SC Freiburg1–3
SC Freiburg vs Motherwell head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

Our pick is SC Freiburg to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Motherwell 6%.

How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 2–0 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

SC Freiburg vs Motherwell (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park-Stadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.