Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Atalanta take on Hapoel Tel Aviv on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at New Balance Arena.
Form guide
Atalanta's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Athletic Club 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Hapoel Tel Aviv's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Hapoel Tel Aviv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Atalanta and 0.8 for Hapoel Tel Aviv. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atalanta 71%, draw 16%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.10.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atalanta 2–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atalanta71%fair 1.41 · @1.16
Draw16%fair 6.40 · @7.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv13%fair 7.47 · @16.00
3.08Expected goals
2.26Atalanta xG
0.83Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atalanta 2.3 – 0.8 Hapoel Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✗
71%
1.41
1.16
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.75
Half-time result
Atalanta ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.56
–
Form
Atalanta – last 6
WWLDLL
14 Aug
vs Athletic Club
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ FC Schalke 04
3–0
W
2 Aug
@ Feyenoord
1–2
L
22 May
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
17 May
vs Bologna
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Cagliari
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv – last 6
WLWDWD
16 Aug
@ Ironi Kiryat Shmona
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ GKS Katowice
1–2
L
6 Aug
vs GKS Katowice
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ Ludogorets
2–2
D
23 Jul
vs Ludogorets
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Beitar Jerusalem
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv.
What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Hapoel Tel Aviv 13%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 2–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Turku0
Larne2
HNK Rijeka0
FC ST. Gallen0
Tromso0
KI Klaksvik0
PAOK1
Gornik Zabrze2