Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Reggiana to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReggiana to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceReggiana or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone B sees Vis Pesaro take on Reggiana on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Tonino Benelli. Vis Pesaro are 20th with 5 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Reggiana sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vis Pesaro's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Forli 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Reggiana's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Reggiana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Vis Pesaro and 1.9 for Reggiana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vis Pesaro 16%, draw 25%, Reggiana 59%.
Safer route: Reggiana or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Reggiana to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Reggiana or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vis Pesaro 0–1 Reggiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vis Pesaro16%fair 6.18 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.25
Reggiana59%fair 1.71 · @1.85
2.88Expected goals
0.95Vis Pesaro xG
1.93Reggiana xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Vis Pesaro 0.9 – 1.9 Reggiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Reggiana to win✓
59%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Reggiana or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Reggiana ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Reggiana / FT Reggiana✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.22
–
Form
Vis Pesaro – last 6
LLLDLW
12 Sep
@ Forli
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Ostia Mare
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Gubbio
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Perugia
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Pescara
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Perugia
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Reggiana – last 6
DWWDLW
12 Sep
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Vado
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Gubbio
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Ravenna
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Livorno
1–3
L
8 May
vs Sampdoria
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vis Pesaro and Reggiana.
What is the prediction for Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?
Our pick is Reggiana or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?
On our numbers Vis Pesaro have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Reggiana 59%.
How many goals will there be in Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?
Our predicted score is Vis Pesaro 0–1 Reggiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?
Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tonino Benelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
