Value bet: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✗38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 preview and prediction
The match
Latina host Guidonia Montecelio 1937 in the Serie C Girone B on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Domenico Francioni. Latina are 15th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Latina's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Gubbio 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Reggiana 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Latina and 1.2 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Latina 35%, draw 27%, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Latina 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Latina35%fair 2.85 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.70
Guidonia Montecelio 193738%fair 2.63 · @2.88
2.38Expected goals
1.16Latina xG
1.22Guidonia Montecelio 1937 xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Latina 1.2 – 1.2 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win✗
38%
2.63
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 / FT Guidonia Montecelio 1937✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Latina – last 6
LWWLDD
12 Sep
@ Gubbio
1–3
L
9 Sep
@ Grosseto
4–1
W
5 Sep
vs Forli
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Ravenna
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs Pineto
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Ostia Mare
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – last 6
DWLWWL
12 Sep
vs Reggiana
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Pianese
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Atalanta II
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Gubbio
3–0
W
14 Aug
@ Grosseto
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs Athletic Carpi
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latina and Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
What is the prediction for Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
On our numbers Latina have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 38%.
How many goals will there be in Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Our predicted score is Latina 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Francioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.