Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Torres to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorres to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceTorres or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.40
Torres vs Pianese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone B sees Torres take on Pianese on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Vanni Sanna. Torres are 5th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Pianese sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Torres's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Ostia Mare 3–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Pianese's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Grosseto 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Torres arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Torres and 0.4 for Pianese. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torres 60%, draw 26%, Pianese 14%.
Safer route: Torres or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Torres to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Torres or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Torres 1–0 Pianese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torres60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.00
Pianese14%fair 7.18 · @3.50
1.75Expected goals
1.31Torres xG
0.44Pianese xG
48%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Torres 1.3 – 0.4 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torres to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Torres or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torres / FT Torres✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.40
–
Form
Torres – last 6
WLWLLW
13 Sep
vs Ostia Mare
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Grosseto
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Sambenedettese
1–0
W
24 Aug
@ Livorno
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Spezia
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Latte Dolce
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pianese – last 6
DLDLLD
12 Sep
vs Grosseto
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Vado
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Campobasso FC
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Athletic Carpi
2–3
L
13 May
@ Lecco
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torres and Pianese.
Our pick is Torres or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Torres vs Pianese?
On our numbers Torres have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pianese 14%.
How many goals will there be in Torres vs Pianese?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torres vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Torres 1–0 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Torres vs Pianese?
Torres vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Vanni Sanna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
