Value bet: Atalanta II to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtalanta II to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.94
Sambenedettese vs Atalanta II preview and prediction
The match
Atalanta II travel to Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme in the Serie C Girone B on Wednesday 16 September (17:30 WAT) to face Sambenedettese. Sambenedettese are 17th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Atalanta II sit 10th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sambenedettese's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Pineto 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atalanta II's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Pescara 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atalanta II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Sambenedettese and 1.4 for Atalanta II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sambenedettese 33%, draw 22%, Atalanta II 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Atalanta II to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Sambenedettese 1–1 Atalanta II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sambenedettese33%fair 2.99 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Atalanta II44%fair 2.26 · @2.45
2.50Expected goals
1.14Sambenedettese xG
1.36Atalanta II xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Sambenedettese 1.1 – 1.4 Atalanta II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta II to win✓
44%
2.26
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta II / FT Atalanta II✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.94
–
Form
Sambenedettese – last 6
LLDLDW
12 Sep
@ Pineto
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Spezia
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Team Altamura
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Torres
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Forli
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Pescara
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atalanta II – last 6
WLWLDW
12 Sep
vs Pescara
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Livorno
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Vado
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Cittadella
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Lecco
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sambenedettese and Atalanta II.
What is the prediction for Sambenedettese vs Atalanta II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sambenedettese vs Atalanta II?
On our numbers Sambenedettese have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atalanta II 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sambenedettese vs Atalanta II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sambenedettese vs Atalanta II?
Our predicted score is Sambenedettese 1–1 Atalanta II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sambenedettese vs Atalanta II?
Sambenedettese vs Atalanta II (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
