Value bet: Almeria to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmeria to win ✓41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.26
Cordoba vs Almeria preview and prediction
The match
Almeria travel to face Cordoba in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 7 August (09:30 WAT).
Form guide
Cordoba's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Real Jaén 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Almeria's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Al-Nassr 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Cordoba and 1.2 for Almeria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cordoba 35%, draw 24%, Almeria 41%.
Value angle: Almeria to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cordoba 1–1 Almeria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cordoba35%fair 2.82 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Almeria41%fair 2.46 · @2.70
2.29Expected goals
1.09Cordoba xG
1.20Almeria xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Cordoba 1.1 – 1.2 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✓
41%
2.46
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almeria / FT Almeria✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Cordoba – last 6
WDDDDL
6 Aug
@ Real Jaén
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Elche
2–2
D
23 Jul
vs Sevilla
0–0
D
15 Jul
@ Orlando Pirates
1–1
D
31 May
vs Huesca
1–1
D
24 May
@ Eibar
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Almeria – last 6
WLLLDW
4 Aug
@ Al-Nassr
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Malaga
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Malaga
0–0
D
9 Jun
vs Castellón
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cordoba and Almeria.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Cordoba vs Almeria?
On our numbers Cordoba have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Almeria 41%.
How many goals will there be in Cordoba vs Almeria?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cordoba vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Cordoba 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cordoba vs Almeria?
Cordoba vs Almeria (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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