The Friendlies Clubs sees Melbourne City take on Palermo on Friday 7 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Melbourne City's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Weston Bears 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palermo's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Iraklis 1908 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Melbourne City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.9 for Melbourne City and 2.4 for Palermo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Melbourne City 10%, draw 22%, Palermo 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Palermo to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Melbourne City 0–2 Palermo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melbourne City10%fair 9.75 · @5.25
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.00
Palermo68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
3.25Expected goals
0.89Melbourne City xG
2.36Palermo xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Melbourne City 0.9 – 2.4 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Double chance
Palermo or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.48
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
11%
9.22
–
Form
Melbourne City – last 6
WLWWWW
26 Jul
@ Weston Bears
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Adelaide United
1–2
L
18 Apr
@ Brisbane Roar
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Wellington Phoenix
2–0
W
7 Apr
vs Central Coast Mariners
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Palermo – last 6
DDWLWL
29 Jul
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2–2
D
22 Jul
vs Paradiso
7–0
W
18 Jul
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
0–1
L
20 May
vs Catanzaro
2–0
W
17 May
@ Catanzaro
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melbourne City and Palermo.
What is the prediction for Melbourne City vs Palermo?
Our pick is Palermo to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Melbourne City vs Palermo?
On our numbers Melbourne City have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palermo 68%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne City vs Palermo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne City vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Melbourne City 0–2 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Melbourne City vs Palermo?
Melbourne City vs Palermo (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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