Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Friendlies Clubs · World · Kai Tak Sports Park

Bayern München

WLDLW
2–1
FT

Aston Villa

WLLWW

Bayern München vs Aston Villa prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds
1

Value bet: Bayern München to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultBayern München to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.79

Bayern München vs Aston Villa preview and prediction

The match

The Friendlies Clubs sees Bayern München take on Aston Villa on Friday 7 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Kai Tak Sports Park.

Form guide

Bayern München's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Jeju United FC 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Aston Villa's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat BG Pathum United 3–1 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Bayern München and 1.3 for Aston Villa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Bayern München 2–1 Aston Villa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Bayern München60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.95
Aston Villa21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
3.68Expected goals
2.35Bayern München xG
1.33Aston Villa xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Bayern München 2.3 – 1.3 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBayern München to win ✓60%1.661.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.551.40
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.901.70
Half-time resultBayern München ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bayern München / FT Bayern München ✓39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.79–

Form

Bayern München – last 6

WLDLWW
4 Aug@ Jeju United FC2–1W
25 Jul@ SV Wehen1–2L
6 Mayvs Paris Saint Germain1–1D
28 Apr@ Paris Saint Germain4–5L
22 Apr@ Bayer Leverkusen2–0W
15 Aprvs Real Madrid4–3W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Aston Villa – last 6

WLLWWW
4 Aug@ BG Pathum United3–1W
28 Julvs Real Sociedad2–4L
25 Jul@ FC Porto1–2L
21 Jul@ Walsall5–0W
24 May@ Manchester City2–1W
20 May@ SC Freiburg3–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bayern München and Aston Villa.

Bayern München vs Aston Villa head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Cordoba0 Almeria4 135%2.30X24%3.20241%2.70 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 53%@2.05 ✗
FT Racing Santander4 Sporting Gijon1 138%2.10X21%3.65240%2.85 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.50 ✗
FT Melbourne City0 Palermo2 110%5.25X22%4.00268%1.50 2Palermo to win 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Sudtirol1 Virtus Verona0 172%1.20X22%5.2526%11.00 1Sudtirol to win 72%@1.20 ✓
FT Leganes3 Mérida AD0 165%1.62X21%3.70214%4.33 1Leganes to win 65%@1.62 ✓
FT Fulham1 Crystal Palace2 137%2.40X23%3.45240%2.75 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT AD Ceuta FC2 Malaga1 125%3.25X13%3.60261%1.90 2Malaga to win 61%@1.90 ✗
FT Hércules0 Castellón0 Pens 4–5 135%2.50X23%3.40242%2.40 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayern München vs Aston Villa?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Bayern München vs Aston Villa?

On our numbers Bayern München have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aston Villa 21%.

How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs Aston Villa?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs Aston Villa?

Our predicted score is Bayern München 2–1 Aston Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Bayern München vs Aston Villa?

Bayern München vs Aston Villa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kai Tak Sports Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.