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FT

Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 2.85 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSporting Gijon to win ✗40% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76

Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon preview and prediction

The match

The Friendlies Clubs sees Racing Santander take on Sporting Gijon on Friday 7 August, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT).

Form guide

Racing Santander's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Wolves 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Sporting Gijon's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Gimnástica Torrelavega 0–5 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Sporting Gijon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 1 April 2026, finished Racing Santander 3–1 Sporting Gijon.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Racing Santander and 1.5 for Sporting Gijon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Racing Santander 1–1 Sporting Gijon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Racing Santander38%fair 2.61 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.65
Sporting Gijon40%fair 2.48 · @2.85
2.89Expected goals
1.43Racing Santander xG
1.47Sporting Gijon xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Racing Santander 1.4 – 1.5 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Gijon to win ✗40%2.482.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.48
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.551.50
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.76–

Form

Racing Santander – last 6

LLLDWD
1 Aug@ Wolves0–3L
29 Julvs Athletic Club0–3L
24 Jul@ Osasuna0–2L
18 Jul@ Real Sociedad1–1D
31 Mayvs Cadiz4–1W
24 May@ Malaga1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sporting Gijon – last 6

LLLWWW
1 Aug@ Gimnástica Torrelavega0–5L
25 Jul@ Celta Vigo0–1L
18 Julvs Marino de Luanco1–2L
30 May@ Granada CF2–1W
24 Mayvs Almeria3–1W
17 May@ Zaragoza3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Apr 2026Racing Santander v Sporting Gijon3–1
Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?

On our numbers Racing Santander have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting Gijon 40%.

How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?

Our predicted score is Racing Santander 1–1 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?

Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.