Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 2.85 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Gijon to win ✗40% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Racing Santander take on Sporting Gijon on Friday 7 August, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Racing Santander's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Wolves 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sporting Gijon's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Gimnástica Torrelavega 0–5 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sporting Gijon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 April 2026, finished Racing Santander 3–1 Sporting Gijon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Racing Santander and 1.5 for Sporting Gijon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Santander 38%, draw 21%, Sporting Gijon 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Sporting Gijon to win at 2.85 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Racing Santander 1–1 Sporting Gijon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Santander38%fair 2.61 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.65
Sporting Gijon40%fair 2.48 · @2.85
2.89Expected goals
1.43Racing Santander xG
1.47Sporting Gijon xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Racing Santander 1.4 – 1.5 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Racing Santander have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting Gijon 40%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Racing Santander 1–1 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?
Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.