Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVarzim to win ✗67% · @1.65
Double chanceVarzim or draw ✗86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Varzim vs Vianense preview and prediction
The match
Vianense travel to face Varzim in the Liga 3 on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). Varzim are 6th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Vianense sit 7th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Varzim's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Paredes 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Vianense's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Pacos Ferreira 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Varzim arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Varzim and 0.6 for Vianense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Varzim 67%, draw 20%, Vianense 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Varzim to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Varzim 1–0 Vianense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Varzim67%fair 1.50 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
Vianense14%fair 7.26 · @4.50
2.44Expected goals
1.80Varzim xG
0.64Vianense xG
43%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Varzim 1.8 – 0.6 Vianense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varzim to win✗
67%
1.50
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Varzim or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Varzim ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varzim / FT Varzim✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.35
–
Form
Varzim – last 6
LWWWWW
5 Sep
vs Paredes
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Trofense
5–1
W
22 Aug
@ Pacos Ferreira
4–1
W
16 Aug
vs AD Marco 09
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Trofense
1–0
W
29 Jul
@ Tirsense
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vianense – last 6
DWLWDL
5 Sep
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Minas de Argozelo
8–0
W
23 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Trofense
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Fafe
0–0
D
29 Jul
@ AVS
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varzim and Vianense.
Our pick is Varzim to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Varzim vs Vianense?
On our numbers Varzim have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vianense 14%.
How many goals will there be in Varzim vs Vianense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varzim vs Vianense?
Our predicted score is Varzim 1–0 Vianense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Varzim vs Vianense?
Varzim vs Vianense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
