Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeça to win ✓44% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.98
Trofense vs Leça preview and prediction
The match
Trofense host Leça in the Liga 3 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Trofense are 10th with 5 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Leça sit 2nd on 14 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Trofense's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Guimaraes B 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Leça's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Fafe 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Trofense and 1.1 for Leça. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trofense 34%, draw 22%, Leça 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.86.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Trofense 0–1 Leça. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trofense34%fair 2.95 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.08
Leça44%fair 2.28 · @2.32
2.06Expected goals
0.94Trofense xG
1.13Leça xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Trofense 0.9 – 1.1 Leça expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leça to win✓
44%
2.28
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.86
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.16
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leça / FT Leça✓
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Trofense – last 6
DLWLLD
5 Sep
@ Guimaraes B
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Varzim
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs São João Ver
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Vianense
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Varzim
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ AVS
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Leça – last 6
LWLDDL
6 Sep
vs Fafe
0–3
L
23 Aug
@ Paredes
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Guimaraes B
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
15 Jul
@ Santa Clara
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trofense and Leça.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Trofense vs Leça?
On our numbers Trofense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leça 44%.
How many goals will there be in Trofense vs Leça?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trofense vs Leça?
Our predicted score is Trofense 0–1 Leça, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Trofense vs Leça?
Trofense vs Leça (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
