Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.01
Louletano vs União Santarém preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees Louletano take on União Santarém on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Algarve. Louletano are 6th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while União Santarém sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Louletano's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
União Santarém's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Caldas 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Louletano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Louletano and 1.0 for União Santarém. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Louletano to win – a 53% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Louletano 1–0 União Santarém. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Louletano53%fair 1.89 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
União Santarém26%fair 3.81 · @3.00
2.51Expected goals
1.54Louletano xG
0.97União Santarém xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Louletano 1.5 – 1.0 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louletano to win✗
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louletano / FT Louletano✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.01
–
Form
Louletano – last 6
WWWLDD
6 Sep
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Castrense
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Caldas
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Oliveirense
0–0
D
31 May
@ Vitória de Sernache
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
União Santarém – last 6
LLDLDL
4 Sep
vs Caldas
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–5
L
14 Aug
vs Oliveirense
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ SC Covilha
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Academica
0–0
D
10 May
@ Amarante
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louletano and União Santarém.
What is the prediction for Louletano vs União Santarém?
Our pick is Louletano to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Louletano vs União Santarém?
On our numbers Louletano have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 21% and União Santarém 26%.
How many goals will there be in Louletano vs União Santarém?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louletano vs União Santarém?
Our predicted score is Louletano 1–0 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Louletano vs União Santarém?
Louletano vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Algarve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
