Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLusitano Évora 1911 to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceLusitano Évora 1911 or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.71
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees Lusitano Évora 1911 take on SC Covilha on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th with 7 points from 9 games (in the top half), while SC Covilha sit 9th on 7 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lusitano Évora 1911's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Louletano 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
SC Covilha's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Mafra 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 1.1 for Lusitano Évora 1911 and 0.3 for SC Covilha. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 84% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lusitano Évora 1911 to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0 SC Covilha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lusitano Évora 191159%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
SC Covilha15%fair 6.74 · @5.00
1.38Expected goals
1.07Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
0.31SC Covilha xG
42%Both score
16%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–027%
0–025%
2–014%
1–18%
0–18%
3–05%
From our goals model: Lusitano Évora 1911 1.1 – 0.3 SC Covilha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win✗
59%
1.68
1.67
Double chance
Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitano Évora 1911 / FT Lusitano Évora 1911✗
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.71
–
Form
Lusitano Évora 1911 – last 6
LLWDLD
6 Sep
@ Louletano
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Mafra
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Caldas
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SC Covilha – last 6
LDLDWD
5 Sep
@ Mafra
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Mortágua
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–3
L
16 Aug
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs União Santarém
2–0
W
1 May
vs Amora
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitano Évora 1911 and SC Covilha.
What is the prediction for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?
Our pick is Lusitano Évora 1911 to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?
On our numbers Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and SC Covilha 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 16% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?
Our predicted score is Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0 SC Covilha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
