Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAD Marco 09 to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.52
AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees AD Marco 09 take on Guimaraes B on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Municipal de Marco de Canaveses. AD Marco 09 are 3rd with 14 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Guimaraes B sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AD Marco 09's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with São João Ver 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guimaraes B's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Trofense 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
AD Marco 09 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for AD Marco 09 and 1.0 for Guimaraes B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Marco 09 45%, draw 22%, Guimaraes B 33%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: AD Marco 09 1–0 Guimaraes B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Marco 0945%fair 2.21 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Guimaraes B33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
2.23Expected goals
1.24AD Marco 09 xG
0.99Guimaraes B xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: AD Marco 09 1.2 – 1.0 Guimaraes B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Marco 09 to win✓
45%
2.21
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Marco 09 / FT AD Marco 09✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.52
–
Form
AD Marco 09 – last 6
DWWLWD
6 Sep
@ São João Ver
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Régua
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vianense
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Varzim
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Cinfães
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guimaraes B – last 6
DDWLWL
5 Sep
vs Trofense
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Fafe
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Leça
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Paredes
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Chaves
3–2
W
3 May
vs Mafra
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Marco 09 and Guimaraes B.
What is the prediction for AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B?
On our numbers AD Marco 09 have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guimaraes B 33%.
How many goals will there be in AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B?
Our predicted score is AD Marco 09 1–0 Guimaraes B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B?
AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Marco de Canaveses.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
