Oliveirense host Mafra in the Liga 3 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Osorio. Oliveirense are 3rd with 13 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Mafra sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Oliveirense's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Atlético CP 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Mafra's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat SC Covilha 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mafra arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Oliveirense and 1.5 for Mafra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Oliveirense 1–1 Mafra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oliveirense35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Mafra43%fair 2.33 · @2.25
2.75Expected goals
1.28Oliveirense xG
1.47Mafra xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Oliveirense 1.3 – 1.5 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✗
43%
2.33
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Form
Oliveirense – last 6
LWWDDL
6 Sep
@ Atlético CP
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Penalva Castelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
3–2
W
14 Aug
@ União Santarém
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Louletano
0–0
D
17 May
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–5
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mafra – last 6
WDLDWW
5 Sep
vs SC Covilha
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Atlético Malveira
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
5–0
W
25 Jul
vs Alverca
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oliveirense and Mafra.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Oliveirense vs Mafra?
On our numbers Oliveirense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mafra 43%.
How many goals will there be in Oliveirense vs Mafra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oliveirense vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Oliveirense 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Oliveirense vs Mafra?
Oliveirense vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Osorio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
