Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✗48% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Stjarnan vs Ilves preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Stjarnan take on Ilves on Thursday 23 July, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stjörnuvöllur.
Form guide
Stjarnan's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to KR Reykjavik 0–5 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Ilves's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Turku PS 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.3 for Stjarnan and 1.9 for Ilves. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stjarnan 31%, draw 21%, Ilves 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Stjarnan 1–1 Ilves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stjarnan31%fair 3.18 · @2.72
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.80
Ilves48%fair 2.10 · @2.18
3.20Expected goals
1.31Stjarnan xG
1.90Ilves xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 1.3 – 1.9 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ilves to win✗
48%
2.10
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.65
Half-time result
Ilves ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ilves / FT Ilves✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.47
–
Form
Stjarnan – last 6
LDWDWL
19 Jul
@ KR Reykjavik
0–5
L
16 Jul
@ Vikingur Gota
2–2
D
9 Jul
vs Vikingur Gota
3–1
W
3 Jul
@ FH hafnarfjordur
2–2
D
28 Jun
vs KA Akureyri
3–1
W
21 Jun
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ilves – last 6
WWDLLD
20 Jul
@ Turku PS
3–1
W
16 Jul
vs FC Differdange 03
3–1
W
8 Jul
@ FC Differdange 03
0–0
D
4 Jul
@ FF Jaro
1–2
L
1 Jul
@ HJK Helsinki
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs SJK
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stjarnan and Ilves.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Stjarnan vs Ilves?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ilves 48%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Ilves?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 1–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs Ilves?
Stjarnan vs Ilves (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stjörnuvöllur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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