Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Apollon Limassol to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultApollon Limassol to win ✓57% · @1.88
Double chanceApollon Limassol or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Dila vs Apollon Limassol preview and prediction
The match
Dila host Apollon Limassol in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 23 July, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium.
Form guide
Dila's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Virtus 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Apollon Limassol's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with AEK Larnaca 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dila arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Dila and 1.7 for Apollon Limassol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Apollon Limassol or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Apollon Limassol to win at 1.88 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Apollon Limassol or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Dila 0–1 Apollon Limassol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dila20%fair 4.96 · @3.95
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Apollon Limassol57%fair 1.74 · @1.88
2.65Expected goals
0.92Dila xG
1.74Apollon Limassol xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Dila 0.9 – 1.7 Apollon Limassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Apollon Limassol to win✓
57%
1.74
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Apollon Limassol or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Apollon Limassol / FT Apollon Limassol✓
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
Dila – last 6
LWDLWW
16 Jul
@ Virtus
0–1
L
9 Jul
vs Virtus
3–1
W
1 Jul
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
0–1
L
22 Jun
vs Rustavi
3–0
W
16 Jun
vs Spaeri
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Apollon Limassol – last 6
DWLLLD
16 Jul
vs AEK Larnaca
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ GO Ahead Eagles
3–0
W
29 May
vs Pafos
0–2
L
22 May
@ Omonia Nicosia
2–5
L
6 May
@ AEK Larnaca
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Apoel Nicosia
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dila and Apollon Limassol.
What is the prediction for Dila vs Apollon Limassol?
Our pick is Apollon Limassol or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dila vs Apollon Limassol?
On our numbers Dila have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Apollon Limassol 57%.
How many goals will there be in Dila vs Apollon Limassol?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dila vs Apollon Limassol?
Our predicted score is Dila 0–1 Apollon Limassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dila vs Apollon Limassol?
Dila vs Apollon Limassol (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.