Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 43% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓43% · @3.20
Double chanceCFR 1907 Cluj or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓12% · fair 8.54
Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Alashkert take on CFR 1907 Cluj on Thursday 23 July, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Yerevan Football Academy.
Form guide
Alashkert's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Yelimay Semey 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
CFR 1907 Cluj's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Oţelul 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Alashkert arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Alashkert and 1.3 for CFR 1907 Cluj. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 43% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Alashkert 1–1 CFR 1907 Cluj. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alashkert27%fair 3.73 · @3.65
Draw43%fair 2.33 · @3.20
CFR 1907 Cluj30%fair 3.31 · @1.98
2.84Expected goals
1.54Alashkert xG
1.30CFR 1907 Cluj xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Alashkert 1.5 – 1.3 CFR 1907 Cluj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
43%
2.33
3.20 ▲
Double chance
CFR 1907 Cluj or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alashkert / FT Alashkert✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
12%
8.54
–
Form
Alashkert – last 6
DDWWDW
16 Jul
@ Yelimay Semey
1–1
D
9 Jul
vs Yelimay Semey
1–1
D
26 May
vs Shirak
2–0
W
9 May
vs Gandzasar
3–1
W
2 May
@ BKMA
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ FC Urartu
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CFR 1907 Cluj – last 6
LWDDDD
18 Jul
@ Oţelul
1–2
L
9 Jul
vs Karpaty
1–0
W
7 Jul
vs FC Noah
1–1
D
4 Jul
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
1–1
D
22 May
vs Arges Pitesti
1–1
D
8 May
vs Universitatea Craiova
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alashkert and CFR 1907 Cluj.
What is the prediction for Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj?
On our numbers Alashkert have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 43% and CFR 1907 Cluj 30%.
How many goals will there be in Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj?
Our predicted score is Alashkert 1–1 CFR 1907 Cluj, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj?
Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Yerevan Football Academy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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