Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAustria Vienna to win ✓64% · @1.37
Double chanceAustria Vienna or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.74
FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna preview and prediction
The match
FK Liepaja host Austria Vienna in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 23 July, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Slokas Stadions.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Dečić 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Austria Vienna's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Paks 4–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for FK Liepaja and 1.7 for Austria Vienna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 14%, draw 22%, Austria Vienna 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 1–1 Austria Vienna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja14%fair 7.09 · @8.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.20
Austria Vienna64%fair 1.57 · @1.37
2.59Expected goals
0.87FK Liepaja xG
1.72Austria Vienna xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 0.9 – 1.7 Austria Vienna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austria Vienna to win✓
64%
1.57
1.37
Double chance
Austria Vienna or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austria Vienna / FT Austria Vienna✓
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
FK Liepaja – last 6
WLWLWL
15 Jul
@ Dečić
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Auda
0–1
L
9 Jul
vs Dečić
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–3
L
30 Jun
vs Ogre United
4–0
W
26 Jun
vs Rīgas FS
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Austria Vienna – last 6
WDDWLW
17 Jul
vs Paks
4–1
W
8 Jul
vs Dunajska Streda
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Debreceni VSC
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Parndorf
4–0
W
17 May
vs Lask Linz
0–3
L
3 May
vs TSV Hartberg
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Liepaja and Austria Vienna.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Austria Vienna 64%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–1 Austria Vienna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Slokas Stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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