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Today's tips
UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · A. Le Coq Arena

Flora Tallinn

LDLWW
1–0
FT

The New Saints

LLWDW

Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

The New Saints or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.60Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 41% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +44%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultDraw ✗41% · @3.50
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✗74% · @1.60
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 8.93

Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints preview and prediction

The match

Flora Tallinn host The New Saints in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 23 July, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at A. Le Coq Arena.

Form guide

Flora Tallinn's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Nõmme United 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

The New Saints's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.

The New Saints arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Flora Tallinn and 1.7 for The New Saints. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was The New Saints or draw – a 74% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Flora Tallinn 1–1 The New Saints. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Flora Tallinn26%fair 3.87 · @2.26
Draw41%fair 2.43 · @3.50
The New Saints33%fair 3.03 · @2.78
2.91Expected goals
1.21Flora Tallinn xG
1.70The New Saints xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Flora Tallinn 1.2 – 1.7 The New Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗41%2.433.50 ▲
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✗74%1.351.60 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.36
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT The New Saints / FT The New Saints ✗30%3.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11%8.93–

Form

Flora Tallinn – last 6

LDLWWL
17 Julvs Nõmme United1–2L
14 Jul@ Saburtalo2–2D
8 Julvs Saburtalo2–3L
2 Jul@ Kuressaare3–0W
28 Jun@ FC Levadia Tallinn2–1W
21 Junvs Paide1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

The New Saints – last 6

LLWDWW
14 Julvs Sabah FA1–2L
7 Jul@ Sabah FA0–2L
26 Jun@ H&W Welders2–1W
24 Jun@ Glentoran1–1D
3 Aprvs GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1W
27 Mar@ Caernarfon Town4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Flora Tallinn and The New Saints.

Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints head-to-head page →

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FT Alashkert1 CFR 1907 Cluj1 127%3.65X43%3.20230%1.98 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Panevėžys1 FK Tobol Kostanay1 126%3.30X43%3.25231%2.10 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT HJK Helsinki5 Coleraine FC0 165%1.36X21%4.45214%7.70 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Debreceni VSC1 Pyunik Yerevan0 152%1.78X25%3.40223%4.20 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Dila0 Apollon Limassol4 120%3.95X22%3.30257%1.88 X2Apollon Limassol or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Paide1 Zira0 125%7.80X23%4.90252%1.32 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

Our pick is The New Saints or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

On our numbers Flora Tallinn have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 41% and The New Saints 33%.

How many goals will there be in Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

Our predicted score is Flora Tallinn 1–1 The New Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.