Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShelbourne to win ✓54% · @1.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme preview and prediction
The match
Kalju Nomme travel to Tolka Park in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 23 July (19:45 WAT) to face Shelbourne.
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Kerry 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Kalju Nomme's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Kuressaare 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Kalju Nomme arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Shelbourne and 1.4 for Kalju Nomme. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shelbourne 54%, draw 22%, Kalju Nomme 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 53% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–1 Kalju Nomme. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne54%fair 1.86 · @1.34
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
Kalju Nomme24%fair 4.16 · @9.60
2.76Expected goals
1.38Shelbourne xG
1.38Kalju Nomme xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.4 – 1.4 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✓
54%
1.86
1.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✓
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
Shelbourne – last 6
DDWDLD
17 Jul
@ Kerry
2–2
D
7 Jul
vs Celtic
1–1
D
3 Jul
vs Dundalk
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Sligo Rovers
2–2
D
22 Jun
vs Bohemians
0–3
L
19 Jun
@ Drogheda United
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kalju Nomme – last 6
DDWWDD
19 Jul
@ Kuressaare
0–0
D
16 Jul
@ Linfield
2–2
D
9 Jul
vs Linfield
1–0
W
3 Jul
@ Nõmme United
3–1
W
28 Jun
vs Paide
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Kalju Nomme.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kalju Nomme 24%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?
Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.