Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Rīgas FS vs Vestri preview and prediction
The match
Vestri travel to Lnk Sporta Parks in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 23 July (17:30 WAT) to face Rīgas FS.
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat FS Jelgava 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vestri's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to HK Kopavogur 2–6 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.7 for Rīgas FS and 0.6 for Vestri. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 78%, draw 14%, Vestri 8%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 3–0 Vestri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS78%fair 1.28 · @1.05
Draw14%fair 7.09 · @9.40
Vestri8%fair 13.29 · @34.00
3.37Expected goals
2.72Rīgas FS xG
0.65Vestri xG
47%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
3–012%
1–09%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.7 – 0.6 Vestri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win✓
78%
1.28
1.05
Double chance
Rīgas FS or draw✓
92%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.60
Half-time result
Rīgas FS ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS✓
57%
1.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
Rīgas FS – last 6
WWWWDW
20 Jul
@ FS Jelgava
1–0
W
16 Jul
vs Glentoran
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs FS Jelgava
2–0
W
9 Jul
@ Glentoran
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Auda
1–1
D
30 Jun
vs BFC Daugavpils
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vestri – last 6
LLLLDD
20 Jul
@ HK Kopavogur
2–6
L
16 Jul
vs Qarabag
0–3
L
13 Jul
vs Fylkir
2–5
L
9 Jul
@ Qarabag
0–3
L
4 Jul
@ Grindavik
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Throttur Reykjavik
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rīgas FS and Vestri.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Vestri?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Vestri 8%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Vestri?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Vestri?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 3–0 Vestri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Vestri?
Rīgas FS vs Vestri (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Lnk Sporta Parks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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