Thursday, 12 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
EFL Trophy · England · Rodney Parade

Newport County

DWWDD
2–2
FTPens 4–5

Plymouth

WLWWW

Newport County vs Plymouth prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Plymouth to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPlymouth to win ✗64% · @1.62
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Newport County vs Plymouth preview and prediction

The match

The EFL Trophy sees Newport County take on Plymouth on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Rodney Parade. Newport County are 3rd with 3 points from 3 games, while Plymouth sit 2nd on 6 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Newport County's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Gillingham 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Plymouth's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Leyton Orient 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.

Plymouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for Newport County and 2.6 for Plymouth. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 64%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Plymouth to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newport County 1–2 Plymouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Newport County17%fair 6.00 · @4.20
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.60
Plymouth64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
4.00Expected goals
1.35Newport County xG
2.65Plymouth xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–36%

From our goals model: Newport County 1.4 – 2.6 Plymouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlymouth to win ✗64%1.561.62
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓83%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Half-time resultPlymouth ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✗43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.52–

Form

Newport County – last 6

DWWDDL
3 Oct@ Gillingham0–0D
26 Sepvs Grimsby2–1W
22 Sep@ Swindon Town2–0W
19 Sep@ Accrington ST0–0D
12 Sepvs Fleetwood Town1–1D
5 Sep@ Northampton0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Plymouth – last 6

WLWWWW
3 Oct@ Leyton Orient2–0W
26 Sepvs Burton Albion0–1L
22 Sepvs Crystal Palace U215–1W
19 Sep@ Blackpool4–2W
12 Sepvs Barnsley3–0W
5 Sep@ Doncaster3–2W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Plymouth.

Newport County vs Plymouth head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff3201+26
2Exeter City3201+16
3Newport County3102-13
4Arsenal U213102-23

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST1 Salford City1 Pens 5–4 122%3.25X20%3.40259%1.91 GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.50 ✓
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 Sunderland U210 167%1.36X18%5.00215%5.00 GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Blackpool2 Crewe2 Pens 4–2 160%1.62X18%3.90222%3.90 GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Rotherham0 Bradford4 119%3.30X20%3.20261%1.95 X2Bradford or draw 81%@1.29 ✓
FT Port Vale2 Mansfield Town0 144%2.50X22%3.10234%2.40 GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Shrewsbury0 Stockport County2 114%4.50X19%3.50267%1.62 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.70 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Burton Albion0 Pens 2–4 140%2.30X23%3.25237%2.62 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Fleetwood Town4 Barnsley1 121%3.10X21%3.80258%1.80 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newport County vs Plymouth?

Our pick is Plymouth to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Newport County vs Plymouth?

On our numbers Newport County have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Plymouth 64%.

How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Plymouth?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Plymouth?

Our predicted score is Newport County 1–2 Plymouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Newport County vs Plymouth?

Newport County vs Plymouth (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.