Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPort Vale to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.91
Port Vale vs Mansfield Town preview and prediction
The match
Mansfield Town travel to Vale Park in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 6 October (19:00 WAT) to face Port Vale. Port Vale are 1st with 7 points from 3 games, while Mansfield Town sit 4th on 1 points.
Form guide
Port Vale's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Chesterfield 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mansfield Town's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Burton Albion 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.1 for Port Vale and 1.9 for Mansfield Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Port Vale 44%, draw 22%, Mansfield Town 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Port Vale to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Port Vale 2–1 Mansfield Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Port Vale44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.10
Mansfield Town34%fair 2.91 · @2.40
4.00Expected goals
2.12Port Vale xG
1.88Mansfield Town xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Port Vale 2.1 – 1.9 Mansfield Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✓
44%
2.29
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Port Vale ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✓
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.91
–
Form
Port Vale – last 6
DLWLLD
22 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Walsall
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Salford City
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Crewe
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mansfield Town – last 6
DDLLWL
19 Sep
@ Burton Albion
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Huddersfield
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Bradford
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Reading
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Luton
5–2
W
22 Aug
@ Peterborough
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Mansfield Town.
What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mansfield Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 2–1 Mansfield Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?
Port Vale vs Mansfield Town (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.